Restaurant · Guide · Updated July 2026

How to Price Your Restaurant Menu Using Average Order Value (AOV)

The short answer

To price your menu correctly, work backwards from your revenue goal. Divide your projected monthly revenue by your operating days to find your daily target, then split that by dining session and seat count to get the exact average spend per customer you need. That number tells you where to set your prices.

Ben's Burger daily revenue target (example case)$942.31
Required AOV per seat to hit Ben's monthly goal$10.47 lunch / $20.94 dinner
Ben's Burger lunch-to-dinner AOV ratio1 to 2
Ben's Burger operating days in a 30-day month after adjusting for busy days and rest days26 days

Pricing your menu by feel or by copying competitors is how you end up busy but broke. The right way is to calculate the average order value (AOV) your business needs, then build your menu around that number.

This is the approach taught in Module 4 of the Profitable Restaurant Owner Academy, and the worked example below makes the math concrete.

What Is Average Order Value and Why Does It Matter?

Average order value is how much each customer spends at your restaurant, on average. Think about McDonald’s: one customer orders a Big Mac, another grabs an ice cream, a third buys a smoothie. When you average across every customer who walks through the door, you get a single dollar figure. That is your AOV.

Getting this number wrong in either direction causes real problems.

If your AOV is too low, you need massive volume to survive. At 720 Sweets, I opened a location inside Metropolis at Metrotown, one of the busiest malls in Vancouver. We could price items at two dollars because thousands of people walked past every day. That volume made a two-dollar AOV work. Take that same two-dollar price point to a standalone shop where people have to drive ten or twenty minutes, and you have a very hard business on your hands. The foot traffic simply is not there to compensate.

If your AOV is too high for your location, you face the opposite wall. A hundred-dollar steak-and-wine experience does not work in a neighborhood where the average customer either cannot afford it or has no reason to make the trip.

Knowing your required AOV lets you build a menu that actually matches your revenue needs and your customer base.

How Do You Calculate Operating Days Per Month?

You cannot just divide your monthly revenue target by 30. Every month has slow days, busy days, and days you are closed. Treating them all the same gives you a distorted picture.

Here is the framework:

  • Normal days count as 1.0 each.
  • Busy days count as 1.5 each, because you should be making more on those days.
  • Rest days (days off) are subtracted at 1.0 each.

Add up your normal days, add your adjusted busy-day count, then subtract your off days. The result is your operating days for the month.

Which days are your busy days depends entirely on your concept. A restaurant catering to office workers will be busiest Monday through Friday and slow on weekends. A bait shop near the water will be packed on Fridays, Saturdays, and Sundays. Know your customer, then map your calendar accordingly.

Ben’s Burger in action: Ben is open Tuesday through Friday (normal days), Saturday and Sunday (busy days), and closed on Mondays. In a 30-day month his calendar breaks down like this:

  • 18 normal days x 1.0 = 18
  • 8 busy days x 1.5 = 12
  • 4 rest days x 1.0 = subtract 4

18 + 12 minus 4 = 26 operating days.

How Do You Find Your Projected Revenue Per Operating Day?

Once you have your operating days, the calculation is straightforward.

Projected monthly revenue divided by operating days equals projected revenue per operating day.

Ben’s Burger has a projected monthly revenue of $24,500 (established in an earlier lesson when we worked through fixed and variable expenses). Divide $24,500 by 26 operating days and you get $942.31 per day. That is the daily revenue target Ben has to hit to reach his monthly goal.

How Do You Split That Daily Target Between Lunch and Dinner?

Not all meals are equal. Lunch checks are almost always lower than dinner checks. The ratio depends on your concept.

A Chipotle-style counter-service spot might run a 1-to-1 ratio because a burrito costs roughly the same at noon as it does at 7 p.m. A full-service restaurant where customers order burgers at lunch and steaks at dinner might run closer to 1-to-2. Fine dining can stretch to 1-to-3.

Ben’s Burger uses a 1-to-2 ratio. Lunch averages around $10, dinner around $20. To split the daily target by that ratio, divide by the sum of the ratio (1 + 2 = 3):

  • $942.31 divided by 3 = $314.10 per ratio unit
  • Lunch target = 1 x $314.10 = $314.10
  • Dinner target = 2 x $314.10 = $628.20

Those are the session revenue targets Ben needs to hit each operating day.

How Do You Turn Session Revenue Into a Per-Person Menu Price?

Now divide each session revenue target by the number of seats you have, assuming one full turn per session. Ben has 30 seats. To be conservative, we only plan for one lunch rush and one dinner rush, meaning each seat turns once per session.

  • Lunch: $314.10 divided by 30 seats = $10.47 per person
  • Dinner: $628.20 divided by 30 seats = $20.94 per person

Those are your required AOVs. For Ben to hit $24,500 a month, every lunch customer needs to spend an average of $10.47 and every dinner customer needs to spend an average of $20.94.

Now you have something concrete to build a menu around. If your burger, fries, and drink combo lands at $9.50, you are short. You either need to add an upsell (a dessert, a premium drink, a side upgrade) or raise your base price. If your dinner combo is sitting at $18, same story. The math tells you exactly where the gap is.

Why Being Conservative With Seat Turns Protects You

Counting on multiple seat turns per session to hit your numbers is a trap. You might turn your dinner section twice on a Saturday night in December. You will not do that on a Tuesday in February. Planning around one turn per session gives you a floor, not a fantasy.

If you exceed one turn, the extra revenue is upside. If you plan around two turns and only get one, you miss your month.

A Note on Location Versus Pricing

This whole exercise only works if your required AOV is realistic for your trade area. If the math says you need a $35 dinner AOV but you are in a fast-casual strip mall where customers expect to spend $14, the menu math will not save you. The mismatch is a concept problem, not a pricing problem.

Run this calculation before you sign your lease. If the AOV your location demands is out of step with what your market will pay, change the concept or change the location.

The Bottom Line

Price your menu by working backwards from your revenue goal, not by copying what the place down the street charges. Calculate your operating days, find your daily revenue target, split it by session using your lunch-to-dinner ratio, then divide by seats. The number you land on is your required AOV per customer. Build every menu item, combo, and upsell to hit that number. As the saying goes: busy does not pay the rent, the average check does.

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Questions owners actually ask

How do I get access to the AOV calculation spreadsheet?

The Excel worksheet referenced in the original course lesson is available through the Profitable Restaurant Owner Academy. Log into your course account and look for the downloadable resource attached to Module 4, Lesson 6. The sheet lets you plug in your own revenue projections, operating days, seat count, and lunch-to-dinner ratio so the AOV calculates automatically.

What is a good average order value for a casual restaurant?

There is no single right answer because AOV has to match your specific revenue goal and seat count. The method here tells you what your AOV needs to be, not what it should be in the abstract. In the Ben's Burger example, the required AOV works out to $10.47 for lunch and $20.94 for dinner to hit a $24,500 monthly target with 30 seats and one seat turn per session.

What lunch-to-dinner AOV ratio should I use for my restaurant?

It depends on your concept. A counter-service spot where prices do not change by time of day uses a 1-to-1 ratio. A casual full-service restaurant where customers order lighter at lunch and heavier at dinner is closer to 1-to-2. A fine dining operation can reach 1-to-3. Pick the ratio that honestly reflects how your menu is structured and what your customers will order.

Why do busy days get multiplied by 1.5 in the operating days calculation?

Busy days generate more revenue than normal days, so treating them as identical to a Tuesday distorts your daily average. Multiplying busy days by 1.5 weights them appropriately in the operating-days count, which makes your projected revenue per operating day a more accurate planning figure.

What happens if my required AOV is higher than what my market will realistically pay?

That is a concept or location mismatch, not a menu problem. If the math says you need a $35 dinner AOV but your trade area expects to spend $14 per person, adjusting your prices alone will not fix it. You need to revisit the concept, the location, or your cost structure before you open.

Should I plan for more than one seat turn per session to hit my revenue goals?

No. The conservative approach is to plan for one seat turn per lunch session and one per dinner session. If you exceed that, the extra revenue is a bonus. If you build your projections around two turns and only get one, you miss your monthly goal. Base your required AOV calculation on one turn and let extra turns be upside.


W
Wilson K Lee

Built 720 Sweets from one shop to seven locations across two countries, then sold it. Now advising hundreds of F&B operators, board advisor at Plant Veda, with a window into 35,000+ restaurant brands through Workstream.

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